SportsCrack Blog

Monday, September 12, 2011


New England -8 at Miami
All of the Vegas money is going on New England here. And honestly why wouldn't it? Tom Brady vs Chad Henne in a matchup of former Wolverines QB is a complete mismatch. Also factor in that Henne doesn't have a run game and is a statue back there and you have the insurance that the Patriots will be sacking him at least 5 times. Now the Dolphins do have a good defense and have a very good secondary but Brady hasn't thrown an interception in over 300 passes and will put a ton of points on the scoreboard for the Patriots. Some key stats to know are the Dolphins are just 17-45-1 against the spread in their last 63 home games and the road team is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 meetings. I like the Patriots big time and the over at +47.

Prediction: Patriots 42 Dolphins 14

Oakland +3.5 at Denver
Last year the Raiders whooped up on the Broncos (98-37 combined score) but this year both teams have new coaches in John Fox for Denver and Hue Jackson for Oakland so we should probably ignore what happened last season. The Broncos historically start off well with season openers at home winning 16 of the last 22. The Broncos drafted LB Von Miller in hopes he could bolster an awful defense that will be looking to slow down Raiders RB Darren McFadden. I've been going back and forth with this game but I think I'm going to take the Raiders as the road dog. Raiders are riding a 7-0 run against the spread vs AFC West opponents. The line originally opened up as pick em so the hot money is on Denver right now but I think in a close game I gotta favor the Raiders to beat the 3.5 favorites and cover the 42.

Prediction: Oakland 28 Denver 24

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