Saturday, September 08, 2012

College Picks Worth Taking

I started off the weekend with a bang last night as Utah State managed to not only beat the spread of +7.5 but also win against Utah for the first time since 1997. This Saturday we need more money for Kegs N Eggs so these games better hit. In other words don't fuck it up.

Central Florida (+17) at Ohio State
This is a pure gut call right here. Yes the Buckeyes looked great last week with Braxton Miller going ape shit in Urban Meyer's new spread offense. But they beat a Miami team and not the one that plays in South Florida. The Knights whipped another terrible team in Akron 56-14. Central Florida under coach George O'Leary want to prove something and this should be their game. 17 points just seems way too much in a game that should come down to the wire. Take UCF with the points and don't be surprised if they win the game.

Connecticut (+3) vs NC State
NC State shouldn't be favored on the road. UCONN will win this game. Easy money.

East Carolina (+20.5) at South Carolina ECU has won 3 of the last 5 matchups with the Gamecocks. Connor Shaw is doubtful. I smell a close game. I think South Carolina will win but not by more than 3 TDs.

Michigan State (-19) at Central Michigan
There is no good reason why this game should be close. Yes the Chippewas beat Sparty back in 2009 and that will provide more fuel to the fire burning in Mark Dantonio's troops. I think Vegas thinks Sparty is due for a letdown a week before Notre Dame comes to East Lansing but I don't see it. Sparty wins by 4 TDs minimum.

Notre Dame (-14) vs Purdue
Vegas is still seriously underrating ND at this point. Last week they were only 14 point favorites against Navy despite winning by 42 points the year before. They won by 40 and easily covered. This week the Fighting Irish again are only favored by 14 at home despite winning last year by 28 points on the road. Everett Golson will be unleashed.

Wisconsin (-6.5) at Oregon State
I don't get this spread at all. Wisconsin is going to crush them. Take MoneyBall with the points.

Savannah State (+70.5) at FSU
I'm too lazy to look it up but I seriously doubt the Seminoles have scored more than 71 points in a football game too many times. This is the biggest spread in the history of college football and yes I know Okie State won 84-0 last week over Savannah State but I don't see Jimbo Fisher running up the score here. FSU wins by 69.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Not much of a gambling man I see.

Anonymous said...

3 wins. 3 losses. 1 push. I expect better next week.

Matt Fairchild (matt@sportscrack.com) said...

Yeah yeah yeah. I will do better.